What's behind the moves

TSMC led the list (+4.9%) after Bloomberg reported on Oct 1 that the company is weighing a multibillion-dollar Texas campus with multiple fabs, each costing at least $20 billion. The plan is early and reportedly hinges on Congress extending the 35% advanced manufacturing investment credit, which expires at the end of 2026. TSMC already has $265 billion committed in Arizona.

Oracle (+3.8%) recovered part of the prior week's Project Jupiter force-majeure drop. Reports that OpenAI is targeting a $30 billion raise at a $1.4 trillion valuation, with annualized revenue near $70 billion, eased concern about Oracle's largest compute customer. Oracle reports $664 billion in remaining performance obligations.

Micron slipped 0.7% despite record fiscal Q4 revenue of $54.23 billion and a raised outlook. The figure that matters for builders is spending: Micron guided about $11.5 billion of capex for fiscal Q1 and about $25 billion for the first half of fiscal 2027, and said most of the increase is construction capex aimed at bringing cleanroom space online from late 2028.

Meta (-3.1%), Intel (-3.0%) and Samsung (-3.3%) gave back gains after strong September runs. Meta's pullback followed a roughly 25% September rally and renewed questions about its capex payback. Samsung fell 4.2% on Sep 28, its first session after Chuseok, as long-dated US Treasury yields jumped and oil approached $100 a barrel.

Rates backdrop: the 10-year Treasury yield touched its highest level since 2002 (about 5.29%) on Oct 1, then eased on Oct 2 after a weak September jobs report (+29,000). Financing costs for large capital projects are moving with it.

The number to watch: data centers made up 24% of all US nonresidential building starts through August, and ConstructConnect counts 65 more projects worth $26.1 billion slated to start before year-end. Average project value has more than doubled since 2025 while floor area grew about 43%, so cost per square foot is rising much faster than size.

Copper eased on the week but remains about 31% above a year ago. Chilean output is at its lowest since 2011 and a decision on US refined-copper tariffs is still pending, both upside risks for wire, cable and busway pricing.

Standing reference figures

  • Data center construction labor shortfall: about 499,000 workers projected nationally.

  • Semiconductor manufacturing labor shortfall: about 157,000 workers projected by 2030 (McKinsey/SEMI/NSF), concentrated in Arizona, New York, Texas and Ohio.

Pipeline Watch: What's Breaking Ground

Semiconductors

  • TSMC is weighing a Texas fab campus. Multiple fabs at $20 billion or more each, still at an early stage and tied to extension of the 35% CHIPS investment credit. It would add a second US hub alongside Arizona. Bloomberg via Insurance Journal

  • Micron is shifting spend toward construction. First-half fiscal 2027 capex of about $25 billion, with most of the increase going to construction to speed cleanroom availability from late calendar 2028. Stocktwits · Micron FQ4 release

Data Center

  • Crusoe and Google, Armstrong County, Texas. More than 5,500 workers are now on site near Amarillo, with power from two 265.5 MW wind farms and closed-loop liquid cooling. Crusoe

  • Meta, Richland Parish, Louisiana. The 5 GW, 3,200-acre campus will need about 7,500 construction workers at peak, with buildout running to 2036. Meta is running a paid five-week training academy for electrical, plumbing and fiber trades. Louisiana Radio Network

  • Colovore, Fort Worth, Texas. A $430 million, 156,500 sq ft liquid-cooled facility in the AllianceTexas corridor, with construction set to start in December. That is roughly $2,750 per sq ft on announced value, at the top of ConstructConnect's range. Construction Review Online

  • Lambda, Mayes County, Oklahoma. An AI data center near Tulsa, developed with Cloverleaf Infrastructure, projecting up to 1,000 construction jobs. Lambda

  • AWS pledges $1 billion to host communities. Five years of funding for education, job training and energy-affordability programs, as local opposition continues to delay projects. Benzinga